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Monday 11 May 2015

MY PERSONAL HISTORY OF BAYESIAN STATISTICS (Royal Statistical Society, and John Wiley &Son)


        FULL VERSION OF EARLY CHAPTERS OF MY BAYESIAN HISTORY (Wiley)


The Royal Statistical Society (Statslife) published an article concerning my BAYESIAN HISTORY in 2014. The comments in the discussion are quite illuminating. There was no explicitly stated version of Bayesian theorem in Bayes' posthumously published 1763. The father of Bayesian Statistics was LE MARQUIS PIERRE DE LAPLACE. The modern version of the subject was initiated in practical terms by Alan Turing (though he did not interpret his work as Bayesian) together with Sir Harold Jeffreys, and Jack Good, In contrast, Jimmie Savage and Dennis Lindley were entrepreneurs who tried to turn the approach into a religious cult, by reference to highly intense and at best tautologous axiom systems, They should certainly not, as has been suggested by some modern adherents, be regarded as founding fathers of the subject

                                       
 
                                          Le Marquis Pierre-Simon de Laplace (1749-1827)

Click here for EDINBURGH SECTION of Royal Statistical Society, and to download a set of colourful slides prepared by Thomas Tallis concerning my April 2014 presentation on 'The Early History of Bayesian Statistics'


Click HERE for a table of contents of my 2014 Personal History of Bayesian Statistics, The early chapters (up to 1972) were published by John Wiley&Son, with a link to the remaining chapters on my website

CITATION IN LINKAPEDIA

My history may be supplemented by reading the splendid treatise 'The Theory that would not die' by Sharon McGrayne,

                                                                 
Click on BAYESIAN METHODS (An Analysis for Statisticians and Interdisciplinary Researchers) for information about my quite popular advanced graduate text, co-authored with John S.J. Hsu, which was published by Cambridge University Press in 1999

The International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA) publishes some outstanding research papers in BAYESIAN ANALYSIS


                                                           


BOOK REVIEW IN TECHNOMETRICS




                                                       L. JIMMIE SAVAGE (1917-1971)

                                               Author of 'Foundations of Statistics' (1954)
                                                                 




                                                      THE REV. THOMAS BAYES (1701-1763)


                                             

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